Our General Store…The Eyes Have It…Here Come the Hurricanes
It is that time of the year when we begin to think about hurricane season. Our goal is to become self reliant and that means we really never need to worry about hurricane or tornado season or wild fire season right? No, becoming self reliant means we are capable of doing all we can, and we have the knowledge and skills to do all we can, to minimize disasters as they occur. Having a generator in the garage and food storage on the shelves is not enough. Each year as a new weather season approaches it is time to take stock, make plans, and then to implement the plans. Today we think about hurricanes and what we need to be doing to get ready, just in case. Before we can begin it is good to know what to expect.
“The Colorado State University forecast team predicts an above-average 2010 Atlantic basin hurricane season based on the premise that El Niño conditions will dissipate by this summer and that warm tropical Atlantic sea surface temperatures will persist.
The team predicts 15 named storms to form in the Atlantic basin between June 1 and Nov. 30 with eight expected to be hurricanes and four developing into major hurricanes, with sustained winds of 111 mph or greater.
“We expect current moderate El Niño conditions to transition to neutral conditions by this year’s hurricane season,” said Phil Klotzbach, lead forecaster on the CSU hurricane forecast team, in a statement. “The dissipating El Niño, along with the expected anomalously warm Atlantic ocean sea surface temperatures, will lead to favorable dynamic and thermodynamic conditions for hurricane formation and intensification.”
The 2010 forecast marks 27 years of hurricane forecasting at Colorado State, led by William Gray. The hurricane forecast team makes its predictions based on 58 years of historical data.
“Based on our latest forecast, the probability of a major hurricane making landfall along the U.S. coastline is 69 percent compared with the last-century average of 52 percent,” Gray said in a statement. “While patterns may change before the start of hurricane season, we believe current conditions warrant concern for an above-average season.”
The team predicts tropical cyclone activity in 2010 will be 160 percent of the average season. By comparison, 2009 witnessed tropical cyclone activity that was about 70 percent of the average season.
The hurricane forecast team’s probabilities for a major hurricane making landfall on U.S. soil are as follows:
- A 69 percent chance that at least one major hurricane will make landfall on the U.S. coastline in 2010.
- A 45 percent chance that a major hurricane will make landfall on the U.S. East Coast, including the Florida Peninsula.
- A 44 percent chance that a major hurricane will make landfall on the Gulf Coast from the Florida Panhandle west to Brownsville, Texas.”http://www.tradeonlytoday.com/home/503757-colorado-state-forecasters-see-busy-hurricane-season
Now you know, this is expected to be an above average hurricane season. As we reflect on the weather this winter, huge snow storms in the east, colder than normal temperatures everywhere, floods, wind storms, snow in southern California, we can see we could be in for quite a summer. What will you do to prepare?
We need to keep working on our General Store so we are ready when the storms come in our lives. If you did not complete the three month supply of food in your store last year get out your March Totally Ready newsletter today. Check off the items you have and work on the ones you still need. If money is short do all you can and keep moving forward. Don’t forget the items we are adding this year, toiletries, cleaning supplies, and medications. If you can not do both completely do a little of each.
We will be adding cleaning supplies and tips for cleaning up after a flood or hurricane over the next two months. Our May Newsletter will also include directions and tips for cleaning up and preserving your belongings after a disaster.
This week add items for eye care. Add eye wash and an eye cup, eye drops and contact lense solution to your General Store. You will need eye wash and drops when you are cleaning up after a disaster. There will be dust and all types of spores in the air that may cause allergic reactions and increase the need to treat your eyes with some TLC.
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Ready or not…it’s coming! I was hoping to be gone by now…but due to unforeseen happenings, looks like I’m stuck here on the Texas coast!
Just have to keep on Prepping and hope for the best!
I couldn’t believe this winter here in Central Ontario, Canada. Apparently you guys south of us had the winter we never got this year. We had hardly any snow and the temps were quite moderate. Only a few days below -15 degrees C.
I can’t believe how cold it was in the south (FL, CA, AZ etc). But because of the lack of snow already we are having wild fire warnings. Who would believe it in April?